EPL Week 19 – Newcastle vs Arsenal preview with free tips

Newcastle bagged a handful of goals in its recent 5-1 defeat of Stoke in Week 18 of the EPL. Arsenal defeated the lowly West Ham 3-1. Arsenal has reclaimed its top position on the ladder as a result of the victory, but is just one point clear of its nearest rivals Manchester City. Newcastle is in sixth position, just three points from the top four.

  • Newcastle has three wins, one draw and one loss from its last five matches.
  • Arsenal has three wins, two draws and a loss from its last five matches.
  • Arsenal dominates the head to head history between these two teams. The sides have met 38 times with Newcastle winning just nine and Arsenal winning 19. There has been 10 draws.
  • Of its nine away matches, Arsenal has won six. Newcastle has won five of its eight home matches.
  • Arsenal has only had 18 goals scored against it and scored 36 goals. Newcastle has leaked 23 goals and scored 29.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

Newcastle came from behind to defeat Stoke 5-1 Admittedly, most of Newcastle’s goals were scored against a Stoke side that was reduced to nine men. Newcastle ended up with 58% possession and had 27 shots, eight of which were on goal.

Arsenal also had to come from behind in its match and once it gained the ascendancy, there was no turning back. West Ham played well in the first half but Arsenal clawed back possession and created plenty of opportunity for shots on goal.

Newcastle has lost just one home match this season and it has performed well against the top sides with well executed game plans. Newcastle has drawn 2-2 with Liverpool, defeated Chelsea 2-0 and away wins against Tottenham and Manchester United.

I expect the in form Newcastle side to really take it up to Arsenal at St James’ Park and think the draw is a top chance.

Head-to-head Betting Odds & Free Tips

Newcastle Head to Head: $4.00
Arsenal Head to Head: $1.91

I have tipped the draw at $3.50, which is the ‘second favourite’ in this head-to-head betting market. Arsenal has opened as the $1.91 favourite in this market.

Handicap Betting

Newcastle (+1): $1.83 with IASbet.com
Handicap Draw (+1): $3.60
Arsenal (-1):$3.50

With the draw tipped then Newcastle with the one goal advantage looks the logical bet in this market. If you think Arsenal will win by one goal then you should place your bet in the handicap draw market. If you think Arsenal will win by more then two goals then your bet should be on Arsenal.

Double Chance

Newcastle and Draw: $1.84 with IASbet.com
Arsenal and Draw: $1.20
Newcastle and Arsenal: $1.26

This market is an interesting one and can offer up a leg of a multi bet. I like the draw and given Newcastle is playing at home, I would be putting a bet on “Newcastle and Draw” at $1.84. However, if you like Arsenal or a draw you can bet on “Arsenal and Draw” or if you think the draw is no chance the option of “Newcastle and Arsenal” is available.

Winning Margin

Newcastle to win by exactly 1 goal: $5.50
Newcastle to win by exactly 2 goals: $12.00
Newcastle to win by exactly 3 goals: $36.00
Newcastle to win by 4 or more goals: $101.00
0-0 Draw: $10.00
Score Draw: $4.33 with IASbet.com
Arsenal to win by exactly 1 goal: $3.60
Arsenal to win by exactly 2 goals: $5.50
Arsenal to win by exactly 3 goals: $11.00
Arsenal to win by 4 or more goals: $19.00

There are two options available in this market if you agree that a draw is the most likely outcome in this match. Personally, I think that both teams will at least score one goal so my preferred bet would be the “Score Draw” at $4.33. There are plenty of other options available in this market if you think that either Newcastle or Arsenal will win outright.